Shoe Carnival Stock Analysis

SCVL Stock  USD 20.55  0.30  1.48%   
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Shoe Carnival extending back to March 16, 1993. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Shoe Carnival stands at 20.55, as last reported on the 8th of February, with the highest price reaching 20.80 and the lowest price hitting 20.27 during the day.
IPO Date
16th of March 1993
200 Day MA
19.6483
50 Day MA
18.4788
Beta
1.351
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Shoe Carnival holds a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.653. At this time, Shoe Carnival's Short and Long Term Debt Total is quite stable compared to the past year. Net Debt is expected to rise to about 313.1 M this year, although the value of Debt To Equity will most likely fall to 0.31. Shoe Carnival's financial risk is the risk to Shoe Carnival stockholders that is caused by an increase in debt.

Asset vs Debt

Equity vs Debt

Shoe Carnival's liquidity is one of the most fundamental aspects of both its future profitability and its ability to meet different types of ongoing financial obligations. Shoe Carnival's cash, liquid assets, total liabilities, and shareholder equity can be utilized to evaluate how much leverage the Company is using to sustain its current operations. For traders, higher-leverage indicators usually imply a higher risk to shareholders. In addition, it helps Shoe Stock's retail investors understand whether an upcoming fall or rise in the market will negatively affect Shoe Carnival's stakeholders.
For many companies, including Shoe Carnival, marketable securities, inventories, and receivables are the most common assets that could be converted to cash. However, for Shoe Carnival, the most critical issue when managing liquidity is ensuring that current assets are properly aligned with current liabilities. If they are not, Shoe Carnival's management will need to obtain alternative financing to ensure there are always enough cash equivalents on the balance sheet to meet obligations.
Price Book
0.8234
Enterprise Value Ebitda
7.399
Price Sales
0.4917
Shares Float
17.9 M
Dividend Share
0.585
At this time, Shoe Carnival's Total Stockholder Equity is quite stable compared to the past year. Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to rise to about 28.8 M this year, although the value of Common Stock will most likely fall to about 261.1 K. . At this time, Shoe Carnival's Price To Sales Ratio is quite stable compared to the past year. Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is expected to rise to 23.49 this year, although Price Book Value Ratio will most likely fall to 0.82.
Shoe Carnival is overvalued with Real Value of 19.17 and Target Price of 19.0. The main objective of Shoe Carnival stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Shoe Carnival is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Shoe Carnival's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Shoe Carnival stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Shoe Carnival. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
For more information on how to buy Shoe Stock please use our How to buy in Shoe Stock guide.

Shoe Stock Analysis Notes

About 36.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.82. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Shoe Carnival has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.95. The entity last dividend was issued on the 12th of January 2026. The firm had 2:1 split on the 20th of July 2021. Shoe Carnival, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a family footwear retailer in the United States. Shoe Carnival, Inc. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Evansville, Indiana. Shoe Carnival operates under Apparel Retail classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 2600 people. To find out more about Shoe Carnival contact the company at 803-650-4600 or learn more at https://www.shoecarnival.com.

Shoe Carnival Quarterly Total Revenue

297.15 Million

Shoe Carnival Investment Alerts

About 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 26th of January 2026 Shoe Carnival paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Trump Greenland Threats, Tariff Jitters Send Shoe Stocks Tumbling

Shoe Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Shoe Carnival's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2020-03-25
2020-01-310.210.240.0314 
2019-03-26
2019-01-310.060.090.0350 
2017-08-30
2017-07-310.270.24-0.0311 
View All Earnings Estimates

Shoe Carnival Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Shoe Carnival's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Shoe Carnival's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Shoe Carnival's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Shoe Carnival's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Shoe Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Hodges Capital Management Inc2025-06-30
438.4 K
Royce & Associates, Lp2025-06-30
416.5 K
Wasatch Advisors Lp2025-06-30
366.7 K
Lsv Asset Management2025-06-30
335.9 K
Nokomis Capital Llc2025-06-30
331.1 K
Cubist Systematic Strategies, Llc2025-06-30
321.8 K
Arnhold & S. Bleichroeder Advisers, Llc2025-06-30
314.4 K
Proshare Advisors Llc2025-06-30
310.5 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2025-06-30
283.5 K
Blackrock Inc2025-06-30
2.8 M
Copeland Capital Management, Llc2025-06-30
1.7 M
Note, although Shoe Carnival's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Shoe Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 562.56 M.

Shoe Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.05 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.06 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.06.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.07)(0.07)
Return On Capital Employed(0.08)(0.08)
Return On Assets(0.07)(0.07)
Return On Equity(0.12)(0.11)

Management Efficiency

Shoe Carnival has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0377 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0377 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.0878 %, meaning that it created $0.0878 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Shoe Carnival's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Shoe Carnival manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Tangible Assets is expected to rise to -0.07 this year. Return On Capital Employed is expected to rise to -0.08 this year. At this time, Shoe Carnival's Other Assets are quite stable compared to the past year. Intangible Assets is expected to rise to about 49.5 M this year, although the value of Deferred Long Term Asset Charges will most likely fall to about 7 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 1.52  1.44 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 1.52  1.44 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(36.87)(35.02)
Price Book Value Ratio 0.86  0.82 
Enterprise Value Multiple(36.87)(35.02)
Price Fair Value 0.86  0.82 
Enterprise Value63 M59.9 M
The leadership approach at Shoe Carnival's fosters a culture of excellence and accountability. Our analysis examines how this culture influences financial outcomes and stock valuation.
Dividend Yield
0.0289
Operating Margin
0.0627
Profit Margin
0.0506
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0292
Beta
1.351

Technical Drivers

As of the 8th of February, Shoe Carnival has the Coefficient Of Variation of 1099.51, risk adjusted performance of 0.0806, and Semi Deviation of 2.69. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Shoe Carnival, as well as the relationship between them. Please validate Shoe Carnival variance, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and skewness to decide if Shoe Carnival is priced more or less accurately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 20.55 per share. Given that Shoe Carnival has jensen alpha of 0.1466, we advise you to double-check Shoe Carnival's current market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Shoe Carnival Price Movement Analysis

Illegal number of arguments. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Weighted Moving Average calculates a weight for each value in Shoe Carnival price series with the more recent values given greater weights.

Shoe Carnival Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Shoe Carnival insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Shoe Carnival's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Shoe Carnival insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Shoe Carnival Outstanding Bonds

Shoe Carnival issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Shoe Carnival uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Shoe bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Shoe Carnival has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Shoe Carnival Predictive Daily Indicators

Shoe Carnival intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Shoe Carnival stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Shoe Carnival Corporate Filings

13A
30th of January 2026
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
13A
29th of January 2026
The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
ViewVerify
13A
21st of January 2026
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
F4
5th of January 2026
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
16th of December 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
12th of December 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
9th of December 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
10Q
5th of December 2025
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify

Shoe Carnival Forecast Models

Shoe Carnival's time-series forecasting models are one of many Shoe Carnival's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Shoe Carnival's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Shoe Carnival Bond Ratings

Shoe Carnival financial ratings play a critical role in determining how much Shoe Carnival have to pay to access credit markets, i.e., the amount of interest on their issued debt. The threshold between investment-grade and speculative-grade ratings has important market implications for Shoe Carnival's borrowing costs.
Piotroski F Score
5
HealthyView
Beneish M Score
(2.00)
Possible ManipulatorView

Shoe Carnival Debt to Cash Allocation

Many companies such as Shoe Carnival, eventually find out that there is only so much market out there to be conquered, and adding the next product or service is only half as profitable per unit as their current endeavors. Eventually, the company will reach a point where cash flows are strong, and extra cash is available but not fully utilized. In this case, the company may start buying back its stock from the public or issue more dividends.
Shoe Carnival currently holds 367.99 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.65, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Shoe Carnival has a current ratio of 2.78, suggesting that it is liquid enough and is able to pay its financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Shoe Carnival's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.

Shoe Carnival Total Assets Over Time

Shoe Carnival Assets Financed by Debt

The debt-to-assets ratio shows the degree to which Shoe Carnival uses debt to finance its assets. It includes both long-term and short-term borrowings maturing within one year. It also includes both tangible and intangible assets, such as goodwill.

Shoe Carnival Debt Ratio

    
  17.0   
It seems most of the Shoe Carnival's assets are financed through equity. Typically, companies with high debt-to-asset ratios are said to be highly leveraged. The higher the ratio, the greater risk will be associated with the Shoe Carnival's operation. In addition, a high debt-to-assets ratio may indicate a low borrowing capacity of Shoe Carnival, which in turn will lower the firm's financial flexibility.

Shoe Carnival Corporate Bonds Issued

Shoe Short Long Term Debt Total

Short Long Term Debt Total

444.34 Million

At this time, Shoe Carnival's Short and Long Term Debt Total is quite stable compared to the past year.

About Shoe Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Shoe Carnival prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Shoe shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Shoe Carnival. By using and applying Shoe Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Shoe entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.05)(0.05)
Operating Profit Margin(0.03)(0.03)
Net Loss(0.03)(0.03)
Gross Profit Margin 0.25  0.24 

Current Shoe Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Shoe analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Shoe analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceConsensus# of Analysts
19.0Buy3Odds
Shoe Carnival current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Shoe analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Shoe stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Shoe Carnival, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Shoe conference calls.
Shoe Analyst Advice Details

Shoe Stock Analysis Indicators

Shoe Carnival stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Shoe Carnival stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Shoe Carnival shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Shoe Carnival stock analysis, traders can identify Shoe Carnival position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow99 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding27.5 M
Total Stockholder Equity649 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-77.7 M
Tax Provision23.7 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.243
Property Plant And Equipment Net516.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments123.1 M
Cash108.7 M
Accounts Payable52 M
Net Debt259.3 M
50 Day M A18.4788
Total Current Liabilities130.4 M
Other Operating Expenses1.1 B
Non Current Assets Total588 M
Forward Price Earnings13.8889
Non Currrent Assets Other12.7 M
Stock Based Compensation7.7 M
When determining whether Shoe Carnival is a strong investment it is important to analyze Shoe Carnival's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Shoe Carnival's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Shoe Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Shoe Carnival. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
For more information on how to buy Shoe Stock please use our How to buy in Shoe Stock guide.
You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Shoe Carnival. If investors know Shoe will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Shoe Carnival assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.24)
Dividend Share
0.585
Earnings Share
2.1
Revenue Per Share
41.958
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.03)
Understanding Shoe Carnival requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Shoe's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Shoe Carnival's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Shoe Carnival's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Shoe Carnival's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Shoe Carnival is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Shoe Carnival's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.